
一 |

二 | 分析认为,美国持续面临通胀压力,而美联储为控制物价连续激进加息,将对美国股市乃至整体经济造成进一步冲击。

三 | 美国住房和食品价格持续上行,分析认为这不仅将对消费者心理产生影响,也将影响美联储加息路径。 BEIRUT -- Iran’s foreign minister on Saturday called on Israel to stop its attacks on Gaza, warning that the war might expand to other parts of the Middle East if Hezbollah joins the battle, and that would make Israel suffer “a huge earthquake.”Hossein Amirabdollahian told reporters in Beirut that Lebanon’s Hezbollah group has taken all the scenarios of a war into consideration and Israel should stop its attacks on Gaza as soon as possible.Israel considers Hezbollah its most serious immediate threat, estimating it has some 150,000 rockets and missiles, including precision-guided missiles that can hit anywhere in Israel. The group, which has thousands of battle-hardened fighters who participated in Syria’s 12-year conflict, also has different types of military drones.Hezbollah fighters have been on full alert along Lebanon’s borders with Israel following last Saturday’s attack by the militant Palestinian group Hamas that left hundreds of Israeli civilians and soldiers dead.On Saturday, the Israeli military said an Israeli drone strike along the border with Lebanon killed a “cell” that was trying to infiltrate into Israel. On Friday, Hezbollah said its fighters fired several rockets at four Israel positions along the border. On Saturday afternoon, Hezbollah fighters fired a barrage of rockets and shells at Israeli positions in the disputed Chebaa Farms. Israeli troops fired back on nearby areas in southern Lebanon. Amirabdollahian discussed during a meeting in Beirut Saturday the situation in Gaza and the region with the top Hamas official in exile, Saleh Arouri, and the leader of the Palestinian Islamic Jihad group, Ziad Nakhaleh, according to Hezbollah's Al-Manar TV.Hamas officials have repeatedly said that last Saturday’s attack on southern Israel that killed over 1,300 civilians and troops was the work of the Palestinian group and Iran had nothing to do with it. Hamas officials did not respond to calls by The Associated Press to confirm and give details about the meeting. Amirabdollahian left Beirut Saturday afternoon following a tour that took him to Iraq, Syria and Lebanon, where Tehran enjoys wide influence.Amirabdollahian said he met Friday Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, who briefed him on the group’s conditions in Lebanon.“I know about the scenarios that Hezbollah has put in place,” Amirabdollahian said. “Any step the resistance (Hezbollah) will take will cause a huge earthquake in the Zionist entity.”Amirabdollahian added: “I want to warn the war criminals and those who support this entity before it's too late to stop the crimes against civilians in Gaza, because it might be too late in few hours.”With an eye toward Hezbollah, U.S. President Joe Biden has warned other players in the Middle East not to join the conflict and has sent American warships to the region and vowed full support for Israel.The Iranian foreign minister said he will be contacting U.N. officials in the Middle East because “there is still an opportunity to work on an initiative (to end the war) but it might be too late tomorrow.”The possibility of a new front in Lebanon brings back bitter memories of a vicious monthlong war between Hezbollah and Israel in 2006 that ended in a stalemate and a tense detente between the two sides.。目前市场普遍预期,美联储将不惜以经济增长放缓为代价,通过激进加息抑制需求,从而达到控制物价的目的。密苏里大学助理教授 费利佩·席尔瓦:截至目前,市场基本已经更新了关于下次加息的预期,我认为这已经明确了,市场预期下次将会加息75个基点,这是到目前为止最有可能出现的情况。

四 | 这一强硬表态,被市场解读为只要看不到通胀数据明显好转,美联储就会坚持激进加息的货币政策,而这必将对美国经济造成冲击。

五 | 密苏里大学助理教授 费利佩·席尔瓦:如果利率上升,你的资金成本就会随着时间的推移上升,你的消费决定(也会受到影响),因此消费者信心就会下滑,这是你能想到的最直接的影响。当然企业也会调整它们的投资和支出决定,它们将减少投资,减少工作岗位,而这对经济有类似的整体影响。简而言之,这就是货币政策的传导方式。《华尔街日报》日前分析称,尽管美国目前的就业数据尚可,但如果有人认为美联储遏制通胀的举措不会导致利率上升到足以妨碍就业的程度,那将是错误的。而包括美国前财长萨默斯在内的一些经济学家甚至预计,降低通胀的代价,将是美国失业率超过6%。
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